Kitco analysts predicted a 5%-10% correction following the election and we’re currently in that range. As they recently noted, it’s now just a question of when the next surge begins.

“Gold is set to explode once this necessary and healthy correction has run its course, simply because there is no way to avoid a material dollar devaluation next year to deal with out-of-control federal government deficits and debts, while the Fed is in a lose-lose situation. If the central bank raises rates, we head into a recession. If they continue to cut rates, inflation will rise even further.”

Confidence in the coming Trump administration has already been evident in several markets, including stocks and cryptocurrencies. This, too, was widely anticipated because of the economic stability Trump’s policies will bring. Geopolitically, a calming of calamities has already begun over two months before his inauguration.

As Jonathan Rose, CEO of Genesis Gold Group, highlighted before the election, there is one factor that made him plan properly for his company’s future under a Trump administration.

“Unlike most gold companies, we are rooting for Trump to win because we know what it will mean for the long-term,” he said on the even of last week’s election. “Of course his win will help the nation, but it will also be a huge positive for precious metals because it will finally bring the 800-pound gorilla into the spotlight: national debt.”

Precious metals companies have been thriving under the fear of a potential Kamala Harris regime. But Genesis Gold Group positioned its retirement offerings based on confidence in a Trump victory. The “fearmongering” over CBDCs, geopolitical turmoil, and BRICS had been heavy but there’s now a sense of confidence in how the financial world will react to a Trump administration.

The positive economic benefits will bring the national debt into focus, and that will be good for gold and silver prices. This is why Rose believes it’s time to take advantage of the lower prices immediately.

“This is the correction before the surge,” he said. “Many analysts are putting gold at over $3,000 per ounce next year. Others are pointing to higher numbers. After that, the crystal balls become fuzzy but the roadmap points to steady growth which is perfect for rolling over or transferring retirement accounts today in the midst of the healthy correction.”

Genesis Gold Group specializes in helping Americans protect their wealth or retirement with physical precious metals. Learn how they can help you take advantage of the Trump administration’s economy with their free Wealth Protection Kit.

We can say this in the knowledge that over long periods the purchasing power of gold is remarkably stable, while those of fiat currencies are not. This is why everyone should examine their exposure to credit, which is always fiat usually with systemic risk thrown in (unless you hold cash notes). But we are all human, and from time to time worry that the headline values of our gold or silver might fall and we have missed a selling opportunity.

Having broken into new high ground, there is no doubt that there’s much speculation embedded in gold and silver prices. While we should not tie events together to tightly, this build up has been ahead of the BRICS summit in Kazan next week, with speculation that a new trade settlement currency backed by gold might be announced. Well, President Putin said on Friday that “talk of creating a single currency for the BRICS grouping was premature”. It is not ruled out, only it is not for this agenda

That would suggest that this coming week will see profit-taking in gold and silver and perhaps a shake-out of speculative longs as their stops are triggered on Comex. But Putin made his statement deferring the introduction of a new currency on Friday, after which gold and silver soared higher. It was probably wrong therefore to associate rising prices for gold and silver with speculation about a new BRICS currency.

The other material statement was that Putin was open to admitting new members. A few weeks ago, I suggested that this could be accelerated by creating a class of associate members as a stepping stone to full membership and I would take this to now be the case. Could that have been behind the surge in gold and silver?

We cannot know. But looking at last night’s Commitment of Traders figures for last Tuesday and adjusting for Open Interest since then it is clear that gold is now in overbought territory, but could go further.

A consolidation here would be the healthy outcome, at least from a technical point of view. We can bet that central banks and other statist interests would welcome the opportunity to pick up some cheap bullion, underwriting the market. And recently, Russia announced that it was in the market for silver bullion. That’s our last chart.

I wouldn’t rule out a back-test, maybe to $30.50 or so. But the bullish message of the chart is clear. And even that might not happen.

Reprinted with permission from MacleodFinance Substack.

In 2023 alone, the silver market experienced a 15% supply deficit. Furthermore, the market is expected to reach a cumulative deficit of 1,093.4 million ounces from 2020 to 2024.

In this graphic by Outcrop Silver, Visual Capitalist’s Bruno Venditti discusses how new mines are necessary to meet the high demand for the metal.

Silver is Essential for New Technologies

According to Sprott, Silver is second only to oil as one of the most widely used commodities, with more than 10,000 applications worldwide.

The metal is a key component in photovoltaic cells used in solar power. The average solar panel requires 20 grams of silver.

Electric vehicles also use between 25 and 50 grams of silver.

In addition, the metal is essential for semiconductors, controls, sensors, and LIDAR technology in AI-enabled transport. Silver is also critical in healthcare AI, through conductive silver nanoparticles in wearable electronic skin patches.

The average cell phone contains 0.34 grams of silver.

The Risk of a Supply Gap

Despite silver’s importance, declining ore grades and depleting reserves at existing mines are reducing the metal output.

The industry also suffers from a lack of investment in primary silver mines. Today, over 70% of silver is mined as a byproduct of gold, copper, and other metals.

Production is also concentrated in three countries—Mexico, Peru, and China—which together account for half of global silver production.

The Future of Silver

If current circumstances continue, new mines will be necessary to meet the growing demand.

Outcrop Silver is quickly advancing the Santa Ana high-grade silver deposit in the Mariquita District, known as the highest-grade primary silver district in Colombia, with historic silver grades among the highest in Latin America.

The Indicated Grade for the Santa Ana project is ranked the second highest in the world.